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A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales.A recession begins just after the economy reaches a peak of activity and ends as the economy reaches its trough.

This committee statement is about as close as they get to identifying their method.These are the indicators to watch if you want to know when the economy is in a recession. It's called real because the effects of inflation are stripped out.When the real GDP growth rate turns negative, it could be a recession.It's difficult to determine if you're in a recession based on GDP alone.That's why the NBER measures the following monthly statistics.




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Rivethead: Tales from the Assembly Line by Bernard Egan "Ben" Hamper III, is a work of non-fiction.